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Variation in Post-Pandemic Postsecondary Transitions across Academic Subgroups

 

We examine how trends in postsecondary readiness and enrollment from pre- to post-pandemic differ across student subgroups defined by pre-pandemic (8th grade) achievement levels. Using individual-level data from North Carolina and interrupted time series approaches, we find that students with high baseline achievement became less likely to apply to and enroll in a four-year college following the pandemic’s onset, whereas enrollment rates of students with low baseline achievement increased. Likewise, post-pandemic changes to key college readiness indicators, including high school college-level course-taking, GPAs, and ACT scores, were either similar or less negative for students with low baseline achievement relative to higher-achieving peers. These results may reflect multiple factors including pandemic-era changes to educational policy, declines in college interest, and floor effects on the ACT exam. Findings contextualize literature documenting post-pandemic declines in college enrollment and success and encourage further research on post-pandemic college persistence, completion, and workforce transition rates.

Keywords
High schools; postsecondary education; postsecondary readiness; educational policy; COVID-19 pandemic
Education level
Document Object Identifier (DOI)
10.26300/vvqz-fk26
EdWorkingPaper suggested citation:
Swiderski, Tom, Daniel Klasik, Sarah Crittenden Fuller, Steven W. Hemelt, and Matthew G. Springer. (). Variation in Post-Pandemic Postsecondary Transitions across Academic Subgroups. (EdWorkingPaper: -1632). Retrieved from Annenberg Institute at Brown University: https://doi.org/10.26300/vvqz-fk26

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