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Who Is Newly Absent? Racial Inequities in Post-Pandemic Transitions into Chronic and Severe Absence in Georgia

Chronic absenteeism rose sharply following the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and has declined only modestly since, yet most evidence remains cross-sectional and cannot distinguish persistence from redistribution in absence behavior. Using a cohort transition framework, the analysis compares students' typical absence profiles across pre-pandemic and post-pandemic periods. The results show substantial redistribution toward higher-absence profiles. Nearly 10% of students with historically very low absence transitioned into chronic or severe absence post-pandemic. Black and Hispanic students face higher probabilities of entering chronic and severe absence than White students, even when starting from comparable pre-pandemic absence profiles. These findings indicate that post-pandemic absenteeism reflects both persistence and redistribution, with implications for equitable prevention and re-engagement strategies.

Keywords
Chronic Absenteeism, Student attendance, Longitudinal analysis, and Attendance disparities
Education level
Document Object Identifier (DOI)
10.26300/f2s7-tz10
EdWorkingPaper suggested citation:
Graham, Jerome. (). Who Is Newly Absent? Racial Inequities in Post-Pandemic Transitions into Chronic and Severe Absence in Georgia. (EdWorkingPaper: -1391). Retrieved from Annenberg Institute at Brown University: https://doi.org/10.26300/f2s7-tz10

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